This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 26 Feb 2024 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
- 4H
- 15m
NOTE: Nothing major changed since last Friday analysis. Price still within a tide range.
4H Chart Analysis
- Swing Bearish
- INT Bullish
- Swing Pullback Phase
2.
- After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback.
- As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
- Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation.
- Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started.
3.
- After Bullish iBOS confirming Swing Pullback Phase started, We are expecting INT Pullback.
- Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and showed solid reaction from there. This reaction is starting the Bullish INT Structure Pullback.
- We didn’t do a Bearish CHoCH to confirm INT High yet. So, there is a probability that price could tap into the CHoCH.
- Also we tapped into a Daily Demand (Not a HP zone) which is currently containing price.
- As the 4H Swing is bearish, the Swing pullback could be done after reaching the 4H Supply, Bearish CHoCH will be the initial weak conformation and a Bearish iBOS will be the solid confirmation for that scenario.
- Other scenario is a deeper Swing Pullback and 4H INT will stay Bullish to facilitate that view.
- Swing Bullish
- INT Bullish
- INT Continuation Phase
2.
- Swing turned bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback.
- After BOS we expect a pullback. No HTF POI price tapped into yet to start the pullback.
- Price reached the 4H Supply as expected and from there started the 15m INT Structure Pullback.
- We reached the INT Structure extreme and price started a bounce.
- Still we are in Bearish Fractal and the CHoCH is high and this will lead to 2 scenarios,
- Scenario 1: Price respecting the 15m INT Structure and continue up.
- Scenario 2: Price will target the 4H CHoCH (15m INT Low) initiate a move to the up side from the 4H Demand. (Bearish iBOS, 4H Demand will initiate a Pullback)
Link to Tradingview Post: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/PKDoab5C-EURUSD-26-Feb-2024-W9-Intraday-Analysis/
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