This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 19 Jan 2024 W3 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:

  1. 4H
  2. 15m

4H Chart Analysis

1.

  • Swing Bullish
  • INT Bearish
  • OF Bullish
  • In Discount

2.

  • Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
  • After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
  • Price reached the Swing EQ/Discount, mitigating 4H/Daily demand zones and ranged.
  • OF currently is bullish after the Bullish CHoCH. Demand formed from the CHoCH is mitigated and still holding. But that Bullish OF is not coming from a HP POI so there is a high probability we will continue down unless we see Bullish OF holding and continuing.
  • Current targets will be the Daily/4H demand zones and we can wait for price development on LTF to see if we will resume the Bullish Swing or not.

3.

  • Swing extreme demand for possible continuation to the upside.

15m Chart Analysis

1.

  • Swing Bearish
  • Internal Bullish
  • Pullback Phase

2.

  • INT Structure turned Bullish (iBOS) confirming a 15m Swing Low formed and the start of the 15m Swing pullback Phase.
  • Expectation now is set to play the pullback phase as Bullish move till we reach a HP 4H Supply zone.
  • Just to note that we didn’t mitigate any POI to initiate the current Pullback. So be cautious that we may also continue Bearish till we mitigate the Daily/4H demand zone and from there we could continue the 4H Swing Bullish Continuation Phase.

3.

  • Currently the new INT structure is Bullish and we had reached the extreme and price respected the INT Low and continued up.
  • Expectation that we are going to target the INT High as long we respect the Swing Low.
  • Also there is a high probability that we may break the Swing low as we didn’t mitigate any HP POI to initiate a pullback.

Jan 19

Comment:

Correction to the Title today : EURUSD 19 Jan 2024 W3 – Intraday Analysis – EU PPI – US Home Sales

Also Frankfort open 15m Chart :

Link to Tradingview Post: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/S90wkS0r-EURUSD-19-Jan-2024-W3-Intraday-Analysis-EU-Con-Confidence/

I’m Amr

Passionate about the art of trading, I embark on a journey documenting experiences, insights, and growth, where every entry is a step in my journey. Step into my world where dedication meets strategy.

Let’s connect

November 2024
S M T W T F S
 12
3456789
10111213141516
17181920212223
24252627282930

ADP AUDUSD BTC Consumer Confidence CPI CPI Revisions Durable Goods DXY ECB ECB Meeting Minutes education EUR EURUSD FOMC GBPUSD GDP GOLD Home Sales Housing HTF IFO Industrial Production Interest Rate Intraday Jobless Claims Liquidity LTF Markups NASDAQ NFP PCE PMI Powell PPI Retail Sales Safe Haven Smart Money Concept SMC Structure Trade Balance USD USDJPY Weekly XAUUSD ZEW