This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 5 Feb 2024 W6 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
- 4H
- 15m
- Swing Bullish
- INT Bearish
- OF Bearish
- In Swing Discount
2.
- Price made a bullish BOS and after a BOS we expect a pullback.
- After mitigating the Weekly Supply zone, price started the Swing pullback phase after a bearish CHoCH.
- Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zones as expected after breaking the range and formed a Bullish INT Structure iBOS.
- This Bullish iBOS failed to continue Bullish and we changed to Bearish INT Structure which means that the Swing Pullback Phase is not over.
- We are also within the 4H Swing Demand/Discount so keep in mind that at anytime the Swing Continuation could start.
- More price development needed with the current PA.
3.
- Bearish momentum still active with a Bearish iBOS.
- With the current series of bearish INT Structures, there is a HP that the 4H Swing Low will go as there is no much demand zones and the current demand is in mitigation and every move up is just a sell opportunity.
- After the iBOS we would expect a pullback and the current CHoCH is the INT High. So either price engineer a new CHoCH or it will target the INT High (i Doubt we have catalyst for that this week).
- I’ll be waiting 15m to align bullish to play the 4H iBOS pullback if possible. Other wise waiting for better Short opportunity from the 4H Supply.
- Lets wait for the LTF to guide us.
- Swing Bearish
- INT Bearish
2.
- Swing couldn’t sustain Bullish after the Bullish BOS and turned Bearish with NFP news on last Friday.
- After a BOS we expect a pullback but be mindful that HTF are looking to target the 4H Swing Low and Daily INT Low so there is a HP we will continue down.
- But for me following the structure and expectations, I’ll be looking for the Swing Pullback after a bullish iBOS. And most probably will play the Bearish move when we tap into a HTF POI.
3.
- 15m INT Structure is bearish and we are in the continuation after the Swing BOS.
- Price could continue from here bearish to the 4H Swing Low.
Link to Tradingview Post: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/1cZZ00Yf-EURUSD-5-Feb-2024-W6-Intraday-Analysis-EU-PMI/