This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 24 Apr 2024 W17 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Table of Contents
Market Sentiment
- EURUSD is slightly bullish: The Euro is currently showing some strength, having gained yesterday strong Euro data and on weaker US data.
- Market is cautious: Upcoming US inflation data is keeping investors cautious, potentially limiting gains for the Euro. US Durable Goods will be the watch today for volatility.
4H Chart Analysis
- Swing Bearish
- Internal Bearish
- INT / Swing Pullback Phase
2.
- Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets.
3.
- After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and approaching a 4H/Daily demand zone.
- As expected price reached the 4H supply with possible reaction from there.
- Expectations is set to continue Bullish to facilitate the 4H Swing Pullback.
4.
- 4H Supply zone for possible reactions. But note that it’s not well positioned within the 4H Swing (In Discount) so there is a probability that it will get run till the Swing EQ/Daily Supply zone.
- Bearish CHoCH will be the first sign fora bearish reaction from the 4H Supply.
15m Chart Analysis
- Swing Bullish
- Internal Bullish
- Long: Phase A2
- Short: Phase C (Require Bearish iBOS)
2.
- Price had created another Bullish Swing BOS aligning with the HTF requirements for a Pullback.
- Price had reached 4H Supply zone which could initiate the Swing Pullback Phase. For a PB phase to start we need a Bearish iBOS.
3.
- Current INT Low is the 4H Fractal CHoCH
Link to Tradingview Post: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURUSD/nyYyHyJ7-EURUSD-24-Apr-2024-W17-Intraday-Analysis-US-Durable-Goods/
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